Posts Tagged ‘forecasting’

Forecasting the future and number crunching

Monday, August 9th, 2010

Well, forecasting the past is a pointless exercise, I assume.

I am restudying statistics, restarting from scratch.

The first time I did it? Few times in school and at the beginning of the university, of course.

Why now? Because I want to understand and review the computations behind some existing models, instead of re-inventing the wheel- with my old models, I needed to understand but not to write computations.

The main difference? Models built on historical data and limited behavioural analysis, vs. models built on historical behaviour and limited data.

GMN2009: Models

Friday, May 8th, 2009

Since 1980s, also what once were called “broadsheets” started writing often about models.

Or- how whatever you do (as a person, group, organization, society) can be fed into a model, that can then tell what you are going to do next.

Let’s say that, for the time being, this automated removal of free will is just part of science fiction.

This post is part of a series, first published in May 2009.